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Falling Feed Prices Boost Cattle Feeding Margins and Market Outlook

Falling Feed Prices Boost Cattle Feeding Margins and Market Outlook


By Andi Anderson

Recent changes in feed prices are creating positive changes for livestock producers, especially cattle feeders. While issues like the New World Screwworm (NWS) have gained attention, another important development is quietly influencing the market. Prices for major feed commodities such as corn, soybean meal, and wheat have dropped significantly in recent weeks.

Corn prices for December 2026 have fallen by about 20 percent, while soybean meal prices are down by 7.5 percent. Wheat prices have also declined by nearly 10 percent. These reductions have happened even before the release of the USDA Acreage report, indicating that market expectations are shifting. The current trend suggests that risks related to drought and production may be decreasing.

Lower feed costs are especially important for cattle producers. Feeding expenses are one of the largest costs in livestock production. A drop in corn prices alone can reduce the cost of weight gain by 10 to 15 units per pound. Combined with lower prices for other feed ingredients, this creates better feeding margins compared to previous years.

The New World Screwworm remains a concern, mainly affecting specific regions and increasing operational costs. However, it is unlikely to create a large impact on the overall livestock market. In contrast, feed price reductions are expected to have a broader effect by improving profitability for producers.

Improved feeding margins can lead to increased demand for feeder cattle and calves. If producers take advantage of lower feed prices by locking in input costs, they may benefit in the coming seasons. However, it is important to understand that these price changes will mainly impact future production costs rather than current feeding conditions.

Looking ahead, price declines are not limited to the current year. Futures prices for 2027 have also dropped, suggesting continued lower feed costs. However, this situation raises questions about rising costs in other areas such as fuel and fertilizers.

It is also important to note that lower feed costs benefit not only cattle producers but also those raising hogs, poultry, and dairy animals. At the same time, uncertainty remains regarding future crop yields and planted areas. The USDA Acreage report will provide more clarity, as market changes are partly driven by speculative trading and shifting expectations.

Photo Credit: beef-cows-in-field-usda

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Categories: Ohio, Livestock

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