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Mid-Year 2026 Cattle Receipts Show Limited Herd Growth Signs

Mid-Year 2026 Cattle Receipts Show Limited Herd Growth Signs


By Andi Anderson

USDA-AMS data shows feeder and stocker cattle receipts averaged 250,858 head during the first half of 2026, slightly higher than the same period in 2025.

Although the data does not capture all cattle sales nationwide, it provides a useful snapshot of feeder cattle market trends and producer marketing decisions.

A 48-week moving average of steer and heifer auction receipts indicates that both categories have generally declined over the past decade, reflecting smaller calf crops since 2019.

The percentage of heifers in total receipts has also decreased, averaging about 39% over the past year compared to 41%–42% from 2022 to 2024.

While a lower share of heifers can suggest increased retention for breeding, current data does not yet point to significant herd expansion.

The decline is partly due to stronger steer sales, while heifer sales have remained relatively stable. High cattle prices, drought conditions, and shifting marketing strategies may also be influencing sales patterns.

Some heifer retention may be occurring, but levels remain above those seen during the herd expansion period of 2014–2015.

As 2026 progresses, industry observers will continue watching auction receipts, feedlot heifer numbers, and the upcoming Cattle Inventory report for clearer signs of herd rebuilding.

Photo Credit: gettyimages-imaginegolf

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